Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.650109 0.722267 0.800443 0.891644 0.995388 1.110036 1.246747
2025-08-24 0.539161 0.638814 0.755339 0.902585 1.084996 1.305248 1.593888
2025-08-31 0.469132 0.579641 0.715518 0.896692 1.134669 1.440448 1.869362
2025-09-07 0.423163 0.540630 0.691012 0.900509 1.189381 1.580532 2.162217
2025-09-14 0.381112 0.500413 0.658305 0.886447 1.214190 1.678353 2.404661
2025-09-21 0.348516 0.468689 0.632450 0.876874 1.241176 1.778618 2.660053
2025-09-28 0.313513 0.430038 0.592727 0.842245 1.225914 1.812060 2.813371
2025-10-05 0.299063 0.418847 0.590431 0.861336 1.292105 1.975710 3.197179
2025-10-12 0.285153 0.407017 0.585732 0.875556 1.351052 2.133160 3.591893
2025-10-19 0.270798 0.393221 0.576625 0.881438 1.396176 2.271591 3.971858
2025-10-26 0.257731 0.380277 0.567562 0.886092 1.438936 2.409734 4.370784
2025-11-02 0.247307 0.370577 0.562643 0.896749 1.492475 2.572348 4.841541
2025-11-09 0.230963 0.350661 0.540261 0.876521 1.490231 2.633961 5.122457
2025-11-16 0.222206 0.342366 0.536261 0.887746 1.546514 2.813942 5.685404
2025-11-23 0.211077 0.329395 0.523422 0.881947 1.569834 2.931293 6.130071
2025-11-30 0.202605 0.320244 0.516310 0.885692 1.611509 3.090411 6.698836
2025-12-07 0.191888 0.306623 0.500509 0.871902 1.616842 3.173563 7.100019
2025-12-14 0.182734 0.295123 0.487642 0.862514 1.629953 3.274748 7.564765
2025-12-21 0.170501 0.277611 0.462999 0.828552 1.588789 3.250410 7.699499
2025-12-28 0.166956 0.275128 0.465262 0.847276 1.660748 3.492214 8.596428
2026-01-04 0.162920 0.271517 0.465176 0.861222 1.723717 3.721460 9.509312
2026-01-11 0.158015 0.266049 0.461255 0.866990 1.769043 3.914184 10.359539
2026-01-18 0.153251 0.260568 0.456946 0.871553 1.812019 4.106884 11.254824